How to use this calculator
Enter selling price, supplier and shipping cost, ad cost per order, and expected refund rate.
The result shows whether the product can survive paid traffic and refund risk.
Calculate dropshipping net profit after supplier cost, shipping, ad spend, platform fees, and refund risk before scaling paid traffic.
Enter selling price, supplier and shipping cost, ad cost per order, and expected refund rate.
The result shows whether the product can survive paid traffic and refund risk.
Dropshipping profit is highly sensitive to ad cost, supplier cost, shipping delays, and refunds. Thin margins can disappear quickly when traffic costs rise.
This calculator estimates unit economics and does not guarantee supplier reliability or delivery performance.
At $49 selling price, $22 supplier cost, $12 ad cost, and 6% refund risk, expected profit is about $12.06.
Dropshipping can be profitable when product differentiation, supplier reliability, ad efficiency, and refund control are strong.
A good dropshipping margin should leave room for ads, refunds, payment fees, and supplier problems while still generating net profit.
Ad spend per order should stay below the contribution margin left after supplier, shipping, and expected refund costs.
Refunds reduce revenue while many supplier and ad costs remain unrecovered, making refund control critical.
Set selling price high enough to cover supplier cost, shipping, ad cost, refund risk, fees, and desired profit.
| Metric | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Net profit | Expected profit after variable costs |
| Refund risk | Expected revenue loss from refunds |
| Break-even ROAS | Minimum ROAS needed before losing money |