Formula
Uncapped penalty = affected units × penalty per unit
Gross penalty = lesser of uncapped penalty and entered cap (when cap > 0)
Weighted exposure = gross penalty × enforcement probability
Planning total = weighted exposure + defense cost + remediation cost
What the result means
Probability-weighted exposure scales the entered gross penalty scenario by a planning probability. The planning total then adds defense and remediation costs, which are treated as expected amounts rather than multiplied by probability.
Penalty structures can use tiers, per-day rules, aggravating factors, discretionary amounts, and changing caps. Obtain current jurisdiction-specific advice before relying on a scenario.