Formula
Annual heat output (kWh) = capacity (kW) × full-load hours × availability
Electricity input = heat output ÷ seasonal COP
Source heat = heat output − electricity input
What the result means
Annual useful output is the heat delivered to the building, not the electrical energy consumed. Equivalent full-load hours already summarize the seasonal load profile, so do not also multiply by a separate load factor.
Actual output depends on weather, controls, distribution losses, defrost operation, ground or source temperatures, and equipment performance.