Estimate whether a leadership pipeline can cover the annual population it is expected to serve. The model adjusts nominal seats for expected completion, then calculates the remaining gap, extra cohorts, and incremental delivery budget.
The gap is the number of people demand exceeds expected completions. Extra cohorts are rounded up because a partial cohort still requires a delivery cycle.
This model treats completion as coverage. If proficiency or readiness is required, apply a separate success rate after completion.
Demand of 800 people and 560 seats at 85% completion provide 476 expected completions, leaving a 324-person gap. Forty-person cohorts at the same completion rate require 10 additional cohorts and $180,000.
Include the employee population that is eligible for the leadership pipeline initiative and use the same population for every input.
Yes. Use headcount when the decision concerns people; use FTEs when workload capacity is the focus. Do not mix the two.
Use fully loaded compensation when estimating economic impact. If only salary is available, treat the result as a lower-bound estimate.
Recalculate after each measurement period or whenever headcount, compensation, participation, or outcome assumptions materially change.
No. It is a planning estimate. A comparison group or well-designed before-and-after analysis is needed to support a causal claim.
| Variable | Purpose |
|---|---|
| Demand | People requiring coverage |
| Seats | Nominal enrollment capacity |
| Completion rate | Converts seats into expected completions |