#2947 · Energy & Environment Tool

Climate Risk Carbon Cost Calculator

Estimate a probability-weighted carbon-cost exposure for a climate scenario. The tool combines emissions, a scenario carbon price, planned abatement, and your assigned likelihood to show both full scenario cost and expected planning exposure.

Calculator

Probability-weighted scenario
tCO2e
Footprint exposed to the scenario.
$/tCO2e
Cost per tonne in the scenario.
%
Abatement before the cost applies.
%
Planning likelihood, not a forecast.
$
Budget available for comparison.

How to use this calculator

  1. Enter annual emissions within a consistent boundary.
  2. Enter the internal carbon price approved for planning.
  3. Add a reduction scenario and annual revenue for context.
  4. Compare the current charge with the reduced case.

Formula

Full cost = Reduced emissions × scenario price
Expected cost = Full cost × probability %

What the result means

The main result is the annual internal carbon charge before the modeled reduction. Avoided charge shows the financial signal attached to reducing emissions.

An internal carbon price is a management assumption. Do not present it as a statutory carbon tax or external market quote.

Example calculation

30,000 tCO2e reduced by 20% leaves 24,000. At $95, full scenario cost is $2.28 million; weighted at 40%, expected exposure is $912,000.

Tips for better results

  • Use one inventory boundary across departments.
  • Document whether the price is a fee or shadow price.
  • Review the price on a set cadence.
  • Avoid double counting reductions.
  • Compare projects using the same price.

Frequently asked questions

Why include a probability input in climate carbon cost?

It creates an expected-cost planning figure by weighting the scenario cost by the probability you assign.

Should I enter tonnes of CO2 or CO2e?

Use metric tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (tCO2e) consistently across all emissions fields.

What happens if I enter zero?

Zero is accepted where it is meaningful. The calculator blocks negative values and any input that would make the selected scenario invalid.

How should uncertain inputs be handled?

Run conservative, central, and optimistic cases by changing the uncertain inputs and compare the resulting exposure.

Can this result be used for regulatory reporting?

It is a planning estimate only. Apply the required reporting standard, boundaries, factors, and assurance process separately.

Internal charge variables

VariableUnitUse
EmissionstCO2eAnnual inventory in scope
Internal price$/tCO2eManagement planning assumption
Reduction%Scenario decline in emissions
Revenue$Context for cost intensity

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