Forecast marketable orchard production from bearing acreage, baseline yield, expected yield change, bearing share, and packout rate. The calculator separates field production from saleable output and reports total tons, marketable tons, and yield per total planted acre for harvest, storage, and sales planning.
The main result is forecast marketable tonnage. Field production stays visible so packing losses are not confused with orchard yield.
Frost, thinning, alternate bearing, pests, fruit size, and grade standards can alter both field yield and packout. Run multiple scenarios.
Forty planted acres at 12 tons per bearing acre, 90% bearing share, 4% yield growth, and 82% packout produce about 449.28 field tons and 368.41 marketable tons.
Field yield includes harvested production; marketable yield applies the entered packout percentage.
Include them in total planted area and lower the bearing-area share accordingly.
Yes. Enter a negative percentage for a lower-yield scenario.
No. It estimates production volume, not revenue.
It reflects both nonbearing acreage and fruit that does not meet the marketable packout standard.
| Input | Meaning | Unit |
|---|---|---|
| Total planted area | All orchard acreage in the forecast. | acres |
| Baseline field yield | Expected production on bearing acres before the change. | tons/acre |
| Expected yield change | Scenario adjustment from the baseline yield. | % |
| Bearing area share | Share of planted acreage expected to bear a crop. | % |
| Marketable packout | Share of field production expected to be marketable. | % |